give background classical butterfly effect meaning discovery give counter evolution maintenance pool table computer lacked complexity give implications universal effect false effect possible
[give counter] The effect doesn't occur because evolved objects [maintenance] cybernetically structure (i.e. produce systems which dynamically maintain themselves by absorbing energy) the universe and compartmentalize the effects of small changes. [pool table] For example, the balls on a pool table will come to rest in a different position after the break if the balls are not packed tightly. However, if the triangle (i.e. a cybernetic structure) is left on the balls, then the balls won't fly apart no matter how tightly they were packed. [computer lacked complexity] Computer simulations don't account for evolved cybernetic structures and thus produce the Butterfly Effect anomalously.
[give implications] [universal effect false] The effect implies the universe is completely unpredictable because all tiny events each redesign the destiny of the universe. However, in accord with our intuition, the effect is false. People excel at producing systems which are highly predictable, which alone counters the effect. [effect possible] It is possible for a small event to have a large impact, but this is the exception rather than the standard. The less cybernetically structured a system (e.g. weather), the more the effect applies to it.
to be continued...